2010 Pac-10 Conference Tournament Preview
NCAA Basketball Betting Lines
03/09/2010 -
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Nine team will converge on the Staples
Center in Los Angeles to compete for the Pac-10 Conference Tournament
championship beginning on Wednesday, March 10th.
The only member of the league that isn't competing for an automatic berth to
the NCAA Tournament is USC, which is ineligible for this event because of
self-imposed sanctions. Last season, the Trojans won the Pac-10 Tournament
title, so it is certainly disappointing for fans of that program that USC
won't have a chance defend the title. California enters as the top seed, but
in a conference with greater parity than almost any other in the nation, it is
hard to consider the Golden Bears a runaway favorite. They figure to be pushed
by second-seeded Arizona State and third-seeded Washington. Fourth-seeded
Arizona and fifth-seeded UCLA are both young teams, but there is enough talent
in place to score an upset. Sixth-seeded Oregon State is one of four teams
still in search of a Pac-10 Tournament title, and the team is slowly getting
better. Seventh-seeded Stanford was a disappointment over the last couple of
months, and the Cardinal need to get on track in a hurry. As for eighth-seeded
Oregon and ninth-seeded Washington State, neither are considered a legitimate
threat to capture the crown.
The Oregon Ducks and Washington State Cougars will meet on Wednesday in the
tournament's only opening-round affair, and the winner will earn the right to
fact top-seeded California in the quarterfinals. WSU has never won this
tournament and owns an unimpressive 5-10 record all-time in the event. The
Ducks have two Pac-10 tourney titles to their credit, the most recent of which
was earned in 2007. The player to watch for Washington State is sophomore Klay
Thompson, as he ranks third in the conference in scoring with 19.6 ppg. Reggie
Moore adds 12.6 ppg, and he is just a freshman. Tajuan Porter is the leading
scorer for Oregon, but it is highly unlikely that his 11.9 ppg and erratic
shooting will scare the Cougars. Malcolm Armstead leads the Ducks and ranks
third in the league with 4.43 apg. On Saturday, March 6th, Oregon beat
Washington State by a 74-66 final to close out the regular season.
The first of four quarterfinal-round matchups pits the fourth-seeded Arizona Wildcats against the fifth-seeded UCLA Bruins, and these two teams rank first
and second, respectively, in regard to Pac-10 Tournament championships.
Arizona has captured the crown four times, most recently in 2002, and the club
is 17-8 all-time in this event. As for UCLA, it has three titles to its
credit, including two in the last four years. Arizona is last in the
conference in scoring defense (71.9 ppg), but the club is third in scoring
offense (72.0 ppg). Freshman Derrick Williams leads the Wildcats with 15.7 ppg
and 7.0 rpg, while Nic Wise, a senior, provides 14.4 ppg and 3.4 apg. UCLA is
also led by a freshman, as Michael Roll is scoring 13.5 ppg on the strength of
his 42 percent shooting from three-point range. The Bruins rank last in the
10-team league in scoring margin, last in free-throw percentage and last in
three-point percentage defense, so the fact that they have been able to
overcome the shortcomings and win enough games to earn a five seed is
impressive. Arizona won both meetings with UCLA during the regular season.
As mentioned, top-seeded California will battle either Washington State or
Oregon in the quarterfinals, and the Golden Bears hope that they can claim
their first Pac-10 Tournament championship. Cal is the top free-throw shooting
team in the league and leads the conference in field goal percentage as well.
The Golden Bears are scoring 77.4 ppg while allowing 67.7 ppg to foes, and
they own the second-best scoring margin in the Pac-10. There is a wealth of
talent in the starting lineup, and four Cal players rank in the top-20 in the
league in scoring. Jerome Randle is fourth with 18.7 ppg, and fellow guard
Patrick Christopher is seventh with 16.0 ppg. Theo Robertson brings 13.8 ppg
to the mix, and Jamal Boykin contributes 11.7 ppg and 6.7 rpg. All four
players are seniors, providing Cal with plenty of experience.
The third-seeded Washington Huskies and sixth-seeded Oregon State Beavers will
square off on Thursday, and while OSU has never won this tournament, the
Huskies finished on top in 2005 and have split their 20 games in this event.
Washington possesses two of the Pac-10's top five scorers, as Quincy Pondexter
sits second with 20.2 ppg and Isaiah Thomas checks in with 17.2 ppg, good for
fifth place. Pondexter is third in the league with 7.8 rpg, and the fact that
he is shooting 54.3 percent from the floor despite constant attention from
defenders is impressive. The Huskies lead the league in scoring offense (80.5
ppg) and scoring margin (+10.0 ppg), and they are also tops in rebounding
margin (+4.6 rpg). As for Oregon State, it ranks ninth in the league in
scoring offense (60.0 ppg) and ninth in scoring margin (-1.2 ppg). The Beavers
shoot just 28.5 percent from three-point range, but the fact that they lead
the Pac-10 in steals has certainly helped their cause. Calvin Haynes leads OSU
with 12.7 ppg. Washington beat Oregon State by 12 points in the regular-season
finale, and by six points earlier in the campaign.
The final quarterfinal pairing features the second-seeded Arizona State Sun Devils and the seventh-seeded Stanford Cardinal. Stanford's lone title was
earned in 2004, and the team is 11-11 in this tournament. As for the Sun
Devils, they own a 5-11 mark in this event and have never earned the league's
automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament. ASU is paced by Ty Abbott (12.0 ppg) and
Rihards Kuksiks (11.7 ppg), and Eric Boateng, who leads the conference in
field goal percentage (.653), is sixth in rebounding (7.0 rpg). The Sun Devils
are second in the league in scoring defense (58.1 ppg) and are the best three-
point shooting team (.371). Stanford always has a chance to win regardless of
the opposition because of the presence of Landry Fields, the top scorer in the
conference at 22.2 ppg. Fields is also second in rebounding with 8.7 rpg, and
with Jeremy Green (16.9 ppg) in the fold, the Cardinal may possess the top duo
in the Pac-10. Unfortunately, Stanford ranks last in the league in field goal
percentage defense. The Sun Devils beat the Cardinal in both head-to-head
meetings during the regular season.
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The Lakers dropped their
Thrashers, Predators both aim to avoid third straight loss >>
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consecutive losses tonight when the Atlanta Thrashers host the Nashville
Predators at Philips Arena.
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In addition to winning two straig
SPORTS BETTING - Tennis is an underrated and under-utilized bettors' sport.
Ten years ago, at just about this time, I called Alan Boston in Vegas and left him a voicemail that went something like this (abridged version): "Hey Alan, Chad Millman from ESPN The Magazine calling. I want to do a book about wise guys, you in?"
A couple weeks later I got a message back (abridged version): "I don't know, maybe," Boston said. "Call me and we'll talk about it. But not later today. I got $1,000 on Andre Agassi to win the French Open at 40-1, and he's in the finals."
Here's what happened next (abridged version): Agassi won his tourney. Boston won his $40,000. I wrote sportsbook.
In the ten years since, how much has been wagered on the big-time tennis events? Put it this way: The Nevada Gaming Commission doesn't even track the number year by year because it's so small.
"Tennis makes up about one-tenth of one percent of our take," says Lucky's bookmaking boss Jimmy Vaccaro. "The last big golf major we probably had $100,000 worth of bets. In tennis, we might have written two big tickets."
Tennis' lack of popularity amongst the American bettoratti is no surprise, really. For starters, the biggest sports betting holidays -- the Super Bowl, the NCAA tourney -- are must see TV. People, at least the degenerates I know, plan vacations around watching those events in Vegas sports books.
But Wimbledon? Doesn't exactly reel in the whales. "Seriously, it's the nuts as an event," says Boston. "But who even knows when it's on?"
Here's another reason that helps explain why golf gets traction, something I call "The Bubbe Theory." My Bubbe is pushing 95 and has cataracts so bad that, to her, even the most crystalline Chicago day is mostly cloudy. But she still listens to the Cubs games, and she still calls me in a fit if she disagrees with something Rick Telander writes in the Chicago Sun Times. She's a sports fan. If she doesn't know you, you're just filling a niche. And niche players, even historically good ones like Roger and Raf, don't drive betting volume. Only the highest profile names attract square money, which inflates wagering totals like a shot of saline to the lips. Bubbe, and the public, loved Agassi, tennis' last cross-the-rubicon, mainstream draw. She also has a crush on Tiger. She's given me standing orders to put a sawbuck on the big cat whenever I walk through a sports book (or mistakenly tap into one via my Internet machine.) That explains why the Masters is getting $100K in action at some books while the four tennis majors might not get that combined this year.
This isn't a case of tennis being a difficult sport to bet. In fact, in Europe, it's probably the second most popular sport for gambling after soccer. Granted, as the WSJ football betting last week and The Mag's Shaun Assael examined in even greater depth last year, that might be because gamblers across the pond see it as an easy game to fix. But it could also be because, over there it holds the kind of sway the big two do over here.
Street corners in Spain are peppered with public courts and kids doing their best Raffy impressions. In some war torn parts of Eastern Europe poverty-stricken kids view tennis as an escape route, like football or basketball here. A couple years ago The Mag's Lindsay Berra wrote a great piece about Belgrade's Jelena Jankovic, Ana Ivanovic and Novak Djokovic. They learned the game as kids while bombs were raining down on their homeland. They practiced in drained swimming pools. Not exactly Nick Bolletierri conditions.
In the United States, casual fans think tennis is played four times a year. But on the tightly packed European continent, national interest in homegrown talent runs deep every weekend. Of the ATP's current top 20 players, only two, tennis betting and James Blake, are American. Fourteen are from Europe, representing six different countries.
No wonder fans from Lisbon to Bhudapest get jacked up for the net game, whether it's Wimbledon or a low-level tourney like the Estoril Open in Portugal (congrats to Spain's Albert Montanes for winning that one, btw). Chances are good that someone representing their flag will not only be playing, but have a shot at winning.
And that's all any bettor can ask for.
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