Baltimore Ravens 2010 Season Preview
Football Betting Lines
08/03/2010 -
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The first two years of the John Harbaugh/Joe Flacco era
have shown that the Baltimore Ravens have found the right combination at head
coach and quarterback. The 2010 season will reveal whether or not the team has
assembled the necessary supporting cast to soar to even greater heights.
Back-to-back playoff appearances and three postseason wins over the past two
seasons had already generated lofty expectations for this year's Ravens,
who'll return all but one starter from a group that delivered nine regular-
season victories and reached the Divisional Round of the 2009 AFC Playoffs.
But when general manager Ozzie Newsome swung a trade to land standout wide
receiver Anquan Boldin in March, the stakes were raised even higher.
Boldin should give Baltimore what it's been lacking for seemingly forever, a
quality complement to the remarkably steady Derrick Mason at the wideout spot.
With the addition of the physical three-time Pro Bowl honoree and veteran
speedster Donte' Stallworth, along with the emergence of third-year pro Ray
Rice into an elite all-around running back and Flacco's continued progress as
a passer, the Ravens now field what could be one of the more balanced and
dangerous offenses the league has to offer.
Baltimore's calling card has always come on the defensive end, however, and
the 2009 squad continued the Ravens' longstanding tradition of excellence by
ranking among the NFL's best in virtually every major category. The unit is
getting a bit long in the tooth at several positions, but Newsome addressed
those concerns by overseeing another potentially fruitful draft that garnered
University of Texas outside linebacker Sergio Kindle and mammoth Alabama nose
tackle Terrence Cody with the team's top two picks.
Kindle, considered one of the top available pass rushers among this year's
college crop, suffered a fractured skull in an accident at a friend's home just
prior to training camp, however, putting the rookie in jeopardy of missing the
upcoming season. His injury was one of several bad breaks the Ravens endured
over the summer, as perennial All-Pro safety Ed Reed may be sidelined until
mid-October after undergoing hip surgery in the spring and Domonique Foxworth,
Baltimore's best cover cornerback, is out for the year after tearing his ACL
during the early stages of camp.
Foxworth's injury adds further anxiety to an already worrisome position, with
fellow corners Lardarius Webb and Fabian Washington both coming off ACL tears
that cut short their 2009 campaigns.
Those health issues in the secondary aside, Baltimore still finds itself on
the short list of preseason favorites to represent the AFC in this year's
Super Bowl. For those dreams to be realized, however, the Ravens will likely
need a bounce-back season out of pass-rusher extraordinaire Terrell Suggs and
for Flacco to take another big step forward as the triggerman of an offense
that has the makings of being something special.
Below we take a capsule look at the 2010 edition of the Baltimore Ravens, with
a personnel evaluation and prognosis included therein:
2009 RECORD: 9-7 (t2nd, AFC North)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2009, lost to Indianapolis, 20-3, in AFC Divisional
Playoff
COACH (RECORD): John Harbaugh (20-12 in two seasons with Ravens, 20-12
overall)
OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Cam Cameron
DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Greg Mattison
OFFENSIVE STAR: Ray Rice, RB (1339 rushing yards, 78 receptions, 8 TD)
DEFENSIVE STAR: Ray Lewis, LB (134 tackles, 3 sacks)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 5th rushing, 18th passing, 9th scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 5th rushing, t8th passing, 3rd scoring
KEY ADDITIONS: QB Marc Bulger (from Rams), WR Anquan Boldin (from Cardinals),
WR Donte' Stallworth (from Browns), TE Ed Dickson (3rd Round, Oregon), TE
Dennis Pitta (4th Round, BYU), DL Cory Redding (from Seahawks), DT Terrence
Cody (2nd Round, Alabama), DE/OLB Sergio Kindle (2nd Round, Texas), CB Walt
Harris (from 49ers), CB Doug Dutch (from Redskins), S Ken Hamlin (from
Cowboys), K Shayne Graham (from Bengals)
KEY DEPARTURES: QB John Beck (to Redskins), WR David Tyree (retired), WR Kelley
Washington (to Eagles), TE L.J. Smith (not tendered), TE Quinn Sypniewski
(released), T Adam Terry (to Colts), DT Justin Bannan (to Broncos), DL Dwan
Edwards (to Bills), CB Corey Ivy (not tendered), CB Samari Rolle (retired), CB
Frank Walker (not tendered)
QB: After displaying impressive poise in leading Baltimore to the AFC
Championship Game as a rookie in 2008, Flacco improved both his passing and
decision-making skills during an even better second season. The rocket-armed
25-year-old's 3,613 yards and 21 touchdowns were the most by a Ravens
quarterback since Vinny Testaverde in 1996, and could surpass those numbers
with the offense's new weapons. The Ravens also brought in some experienced
insurance at the position with the offseason signing of ex-Ram Marc Bulger
(1469 passing yards, 5 TD, 6 INT), a player with 95 starts and two Pro Bowls
to his credit. His addition pushes last year's backup, former Heisman Trophy
winner Troy Smith, down to the No. 3 spot in the pecking order.
RB: With the dynamic Rice flanked by three-time 1,000-yard rusher Willis
McGahee (544 rushing yards, 15 receptions, 14 total TD) and versatile fullback
Le'Ron McClain (180 rushing yards, 2 TD, 21 receptions), the Ravens sport a
backfield that can rival any other team's in terms of overall depth. There's
little question as to who's the leader of the pack, however. Rice (1339
rushing yards, 78 receptions, 8 total TD) flourished in his first opportunity
as an every-down player, topping all NFL backs in catches and receiving yards
(702) and trailing only Tennessee's Chris Johnson in yards from scrimmage.
McGahee was very effective in a short-yardage role, scoring a team-best 12
touchdowns last year, while the 260-pound McClain is a quality lead blocker
who can also handle the ball if called upon, as evidenced by the 902 rushing
yards and 10 touchdowns he produced in 2008.
WR/TE: What had been a longtime weakness now figures to be a strength with
Boldin (84 receptions, 1024 yards, 4 TD) lining up opposite the reliable Mason
(73 receptions, 1028 yards, 7 TD), and the receiving corps would become even
more formidable if Stallworth can shake off the rust after missing all of last
season because of a league suspension and provide a needed field-stretching
presence. Though prone to injuries at times, Boldin's toughness and ability to
churn out yards after the catch make the former Cardinal a major upgrade over
2009 starter Mark Clayton (34 receptions, 2 TD), who now finds himself on the
roster bubble alongside perpetual underachiever Demetrius Williams (8
receptions, 1 TD). Mason's third straight 1,000-yard season at age 35 showed
the 14th-year vet can still be a factor, and tight end Todd Heap (53
receptions, 6 TD) put forth a nice rebound in 2009 after experiencing a drop
in production over the two previous years. The two-time Pro Bowl performer is
now 30 and nearing the end of an expensive contract, so the Ravens drafted two
possible successors this spring in Oregon's Ed Dickson (3rd Round) and BYU's
Dennis Pitta (4th Round). Ex-Utah wideout David Reed was selected in the fifth
round and will be in mix for a roster spot, as will holdover Marcus Smith, a
special-teams standout who missed all of last year with a knee injury.
OL: The Ravens have ranked in the top five in rushing offense in each of
Harbaugh's two seasons as head coach, due in no small part to the work of a
high-caliber front line that's both skilled and plays with a collective mean
streak. All five regulars return to the fold, although the team plans to have
tackles Michael Oher and Jared Gaither switch positions in an effort to
maximize the strengths of both players. Oher, best known as the subject of the
book and hit movie "The Blind Side", displayed elite athleticism during a
sensational rookie year at right tackle, and the 2009 first-round pick's
tremendous talent should serve him well as Flacco's main protector. The 6-
foot-9, 340-pound Gaither is a massive mauler who'll combine with scrappy
guard Marshal Yanda to form a bruising right side. Left guard Ben Grubbs has
been a stalwart since entering the league as a first-rounder in 2007, while
six-time Pro Bowl center Matt Birk remains one of the game's premier pivots as
he begins his 13th season. Chris Chester, a 13-game starter a year ago, gives
Baltimore a capable fill-in along the interior, while the club has been
pleased with the development of third-year man Oniel Cousins as a swing
tackle.
DL: Not only do the Ravens excel at running the football, they're among the
best at preventing the opposition at doing so as well. A stout three-man front
anchored by tackles Haloti Ngata (35 tackles, 1.5 sacks) and Kelly Gregg (63
tackles, 3 sacks) was a big reason why Baltimore allowed a league-low 3.4
yards per rush attempt last season, and that number could go even lower this
year now that the 350-pound Cody, an immovable force in the middle of
Alabama's championship defense this past fall, is around to keep the 33-year-
old Gregg fresh at the nose. The team will have to replace starting end Dwan
Edwards, a free-agent departure to Buffalo, but believes it has found a
serviceable replacement in eighth-year pro Cory Redding (20 tackles, 2 sacks
with Seattle). The former Seahawk will rotate with 35-year-old Trevor Pryce
(31 tackles), who led the Ravens with 6 1/2 sacks last year and is best suited
to a situational role. Baltimore also hopes to receive a greater impact out of
2009 second-round pick Paul Kruger (11 tackles, 1 INT) as a pass-rushing down
lineman.
LB: Discussion of the Baltimore linebackers always begins with the
incomparable Ray Lewis (134 tackles, 3 sacks), the unquestioned heart and soul
of the team's vaunted defense who continues to play at a world-class level
despite advancing age. The two-time Defensive Player of the Year was named to
his 11th Pro Bowl and eighth All-Pro First Team in 2009 after once again
topping the Ravens in tackles and lending invaluable leadership. Suggs (59
tackles) has been to three Pro Bowls in a seven-year span, but the
accomplished outside rusher managed a career-low 4 1/2 sacks last season after
reporting to camp out of shape. He's reportedly shown up leaner and quicker
this summer and appears to be a good bet to reclaim his previous disruptive
form. The unheralded Jarret Johnson (50 tackles, 6 sacks), another key
contributor to Baltimore's top-notch run defense, returns opposite Suggs on
the outside, with sophomore Dannell Ellerbe (41 tackles, 1 sack) and third-
year men Tavares Gooden (47 tackles) and Jameel McClain (30 tackles) all
competing to be Lewis' main counterpart inside.
DB: Baltimore's biggest questions clearly lie in the secondary, and especially
at the cornerback spot with Foxworth (53 tackles, 4 INT, 16 PD) done for the
year and the promising Webb (35 tackles, 1 sack) uncertain to be ready for the
start of the season. Washington (37 tackles) has been progressing well from
his knee surgery and should line up as one of the Week 1 starters, with
competent nickel back Chris Carr (44 tackles, 2 INT, 1.5 sacks) slated to see
plenty of action as well at the thin position. Safety doesn't seem to be as
much of an issue even though the Ravens will miss the presence of Reed (50
tackles, 3 INT), one of the league's all-time great defensive playmakers, for
at least the early stages of the season. Tom Zbikowski (29 tackles, 2 INT) was
more than adequate when filling in for an ailing Reed during a four-game
stretch late last year, and the team signed former Cowboys starter Ken Hamlin
(52 tackles) in June to provide further protection. Dawan Landry (89 tackles,
4 INT) is locked in as a starter on the strong side after turning in a
productive season and making a successful return from a serious neck injury
sustained in 2008.
SPECIAL TEAMS: The Ravens made one notable change in this area, bringing in
veteran kicker Shayne Graham (23-28 FG with Cincinnati) as a free agent. The
32-year-old, whose 85.2 percent field goal percentage is fifth-best in NFL
history, is favored to beat out Billy Cundiff after the incumbent went a shaky
12-of-17 on three-point attempts upon being signed midway through last season.
Jalen Parmele has the inside track to serve as the primary kickoff returner
and third tailback after averaging an impressive 31.4 yards during a late-year
audition, with Carr (8.2 avg.) back to handle those duties on punts. Sam Koch
(43.5 avg.) was re-signed after putting forth another stable season as the
punter, and the coverage units should remain a strength due to Harbaugh, a
former special teams coordinator with the Eagles, placing a heavy emphasis on
that aspect.
PROGNOSIS: The Ravens entered camp considered by many insiders to be the team
to beat among the AFC North crop, but that optimism may be tempered somewhat
with the injuries they've incurred on defense. That still shouldn't stop
Baltimore from doing what it does best -- pounding the ball on offense and
stopping the run -- and that alone should translate into its share of wins.
Factor in the added playmakers at receiver, Flacco's continued evolution under
center and strong leadership within the locker room, and the Ravens appear
fully capable of eclipsing last year's nine-win regular-season total and making
a deep playoff run.
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Liverpool, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Liverpool and Spain striker Fernando
Torres said Tuesday he is "really happy to play at Anfield," and plans to stay
at the English Premier League club.
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(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - I can't believe I am about to say this, but I think Ozzie
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<< Gaming: Go with underdogs in Big East play
Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - I wrote last week how the betting the
favorite in Mountain West Conference league play has won at a 56% clip since
the '07 season. By contrast, Big East favorites have been on the losing end
every year since
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Munich, Germany (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Bayern Munich and Netherlands international
Arjen Robben was diagnosed with a torn muscle in his left thigh on Tuesday and
will be sidelined at least two months.
Robben joined Bayern last offseason from R
<< Dolphins' rookie LB Edds out for season
Davie, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Miami Dolphins rookie linebacker A.J. Edds will
miss the entire season with a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his right
knee.
Dolphins head coach Tony Sparano confirmed that Edds suffered the injur
White Sox place P Threets on DL >>
Detroit, MI (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago White Sox have placed reliever
Erick Threets on the 15-day disabled list with turf toe.
The move is retroactive to July 31.
The left-hander has allowed one unearned run in nine appearances
Celtics sign G Wafer >>
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Boston Celtics added some depth to their
backcourt on Tuesday by agreeing to a contract with guard Von Wafer.
Terms of the deal were not announced, per team policy.
The 25-year-old inked a 10-day cont
Jaguars make it official with Alualu >>
Jacksonville, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Jacksonville Jaguars have signed
first-round pick Tyson Alualu.
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AL West: Have the Rangers mortgaged their future? >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Since acquiring former Cy Young winner Cliff Lee a few
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The front office did not stop after acquiring Lee, as veterans Cristian
Guzman, Bengie Molina and
Jason Williams staying in Orlando >>
Orlando, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Orlando Magic on Tuesday re-signed free
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Williams, 34, came out of retirement a year ago to sign with the Magic. He
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The 2007 college football rules changes that were implemented to shorten games are now history. The NCAA rules committee did what they set out to do; games were cut by an average of 14 minutes per game last season. There were also, on average, 14 fewer plays per game. We’ll get into how that did (or didn’t) affect games in regards to the pointspread a bit later.
While the NCAA rules committee may have had the betterment of the game in mind, they'll now “turn back the clock” for next season. Two key rules have now been overturned by the NCAA committee for the 2007 season, something definitely for the better.
For those of you who may not remember what those rules actually were, let us refresh your memory.
1) The first one was actually starting the clock on a kickoff as soon as the kicker touched the ball rather than waiting until the returner touched it. The problem here was near the end of the half (or game), if the team leading was kicking off, they could milk the clock by intentionally running offsides and then re-kicking. They could run 10-15 seconds off the clock each play while taking just five-yard penalties each time. They could run the clock down and simply cause the half (or game) to end on a kickoff, keeping the opposing offense off the field. In 2007, the clock will now start when the returner touches the ball as it had before last season.
2) The second rule dealt with starting the clock after a change of online football betting possession rather than waiting until the ball was snapped. This took a lot of time off the clock throughout the game as teams changed possession, however it caused the most problems late in games (or halves). Rather than huddling up and calling a play, the offensive team would have to rush onto the field as the clock started. This was a definite disadvantage to a team that was trying to come from behind late in the game. This year the clock will start on a change of possession, after the ball is snapped.
How did those rules affect the college game last year and will it make a difference this year when it comes to the pointspread? We commonly heard two theories when it came to these changes. First, it would affect scoring negatively. Second, it would hurt favorites as they would have less time and fewer plays to cover the number.
Did the rules hurt scoring? Yes. It seemed obvious that shortening the game by what amounted to 14 plays would push scoring downward. That was the case last year. Of the 119 Division 1A teams, 69 squads scored fewer points in 2007 than they did in 2005. Just 48 teams had a higher PPG scoring average and two stayed the same. Almost 59 percent of the teams in college football last year had a lower PPG average than they did in 2005. Expect more scoring in 2007 as we revert back to the old rules.
Did the rules hinder favorites from covering the number in 2007? Not really. Last year the favorites posted an overall spread record of 336-350-16 (48.9 percent). The year before, favorites were 316-326-13 (49.2 percent). In 2004, the favorites were 316-339-2 (48.2 percent). In fact, college football favorites have been above 50 percent for the season just once in the last seven years (in 2003). Last year’s numbers fell right in line with where they have been historically.
How about big favorites? The rules must have hurt them? Maybe a little bit. Double-digit favorites last year came in at a 47.8 percent clip compare with an average of just over 50 percent over the last seven years. Since 1980, favorites of -10 or more have covered at exactly a 50 percent clip (measured over 6,716 games).
Even bigger favorites must have struggled? Not really. In fact, it was just the opposite. Favorites of three TD’s or more were 59-54-2 last year (52.2 percent). Since 2000, those same favorites (-21 or higher) hit at 51.3 percent and since 1990 came in a clip of 50.3 percent. Stepping it up a notch to four TD favorites or higher, we actually see they've covered at a much better rate last season than before. Last year, favorites of -28 or more were 31-21-1, or almost 60 percent. Historically, four-TD-or-higher favorites have come in at a 50.7 percent spot since 2000 and only 48.9 percent since 1990. The “perceived” problem with the favorites covering at a reduced rate really never came to fruition.
Bottom line is, there might be some more scoring in 2007, but no real revelations when it comes to finding any pointspread golden nuggets.
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Academy Award Betting Odds for Best Picture Offer Great Value
If there is any category that is not an obvious win for any one nominee in this year's Academy Awards, it would be for Best Picture. Sure the Departed is a 5/7 favorite, but that's hardly anything when we look at Helen Mirren and her "out-of-reach" 1 to 40 odds (which means you would win a whopping $1 for every $40 bet).
For value, take a look at MySportsbook.com Oscars betting odds on my personal favorite, The Queen - a remarkable 12 to 1 long shot. The film hasn't won any pre-awards for Best Picture (compared to The Departed and Little Miss Sunshine), but there is a tremendous following and it is a strong enough film to warrant a surprise win.
TV Guide advises Oscar watchers should be cautioned not to discount the drama "Babel" with its strong social themes about overcoming communication gaps among people of different cultures.
"While 'Babel' lost several guild awards to 'Sunshine' and 'Departed,' it still enjoys loyal support, and historically Oscar voters favor dramas with social messages over comedies like 'Sunshine' and violent crime movies like 'Departed'."
"It hasn't done well in the guilds, which means there isn't much industry support," said Tom O'Neil of awards site TheEnvelope.com, "But several critics are expecting it to win, and that gets my attention." Babel had 7 to 2 odds at press time.
Who is to say independently produced Little Miss Sunshine won't be this year's Crash. Last year, Crash won for Best Motion Picture, shocking those who bet on gay cowboy flick, Brokeback Mountain, as the favorite to win.
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